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A.J. Green

A.J. Green Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

A.J. Green Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-170).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 3rd-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.67 seconds per play.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Seattle Seahawks linebackers profile as the 5th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Arizona Cardinals have incorporated play action on 30.6% of their passing plays since the start of last season (6th-most in the league), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-least in football.

A.J. Green has been a less important option in his team's passing game this year (10.1% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (17.1%).

A.J. Green's receiving skills have diminished this season, compiling just 1.9 yards per game compared to 3.1 last season.

A.J. Green's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 59.1% to 45.0%.

The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has allowed their QB a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

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