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A.J. Green

A.J. Green Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
A.J. Green Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+125/-167).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -167.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 68.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The New Orleans Saints defense has allowed the 9th-most receiving yards per game in the league (171.0) vs. wideouts this year.
  • The New Orleans Saints pass defense has surrendered the 8th-highest Completion% in football (68.4%) versus wide receivers this year (68.4%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A.J. Green has been much less involved in his offense's passing game this year (10.3% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (17.1%).
  • A.J. Green has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (46.0 per game) than he did last year (72.0 per game).
  • A.J. Green has totaled quite a few less receiving yards per game (12.0) this year than he did last year (50.0).
  • A.J. Green's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 59.1% to 47.0%.
  • A.J. Green's pass-catching efficiency has diminished this year, totaling a measly 2.79 yards-per-target vs a 9.41 figure last year.

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