A.J. Green Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

A.J. Green

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM EST

Analysis

A.J. Green Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 25.47 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
A.J. Green has run a route on 82.8% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 75th percentile among wideouts.
A.J. Green has notched a monstrous 70.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 79th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

Opposing teams have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game versus the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.
A.J. Green has been among the weakest wideouts in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 3.14 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 22nd percentile.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has yielded the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 123.0) versus WRs since the start of last season.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has displayed good efficiency against wideouts since the start of last season, conceding 7.39 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in the NFL.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.