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A.J. Green

A.J. Green Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

A.J. Green Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+300/-400).

  • THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 3rd-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.67 seconds per play.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Seattle Seahawks linebackers profile as the 5th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have incorporated play action on 30.6% of their passing plays since the start of last season (6th-most in the league), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

  • Opposing QBs have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
  • A.J. Green has accumulated far fewer air yards this year (48.0 per game) than he did last year (72.0 per game).
  • A.J. Green's 27.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 45.0.
  • A.J. Green's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 59.1% to 45.0%.
  • A.J. Green has not caught any touchdowns this year.

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