A.J. Dillon Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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A.J. Dillon

NFL · Player Props

A.J. Dillon

RB · Green Bay Packers

Rushing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

A.J. Dillon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.
The Green Bay Packers O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL last year in run-blocking.

Favors Under

The Packers rank as the 9th-least run-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 36.5% run rate.
Our trusted projections expect the Packers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The 6th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Green Bay Packers this year (a mere 53.9 per game on average).
While A.J. Dillon has garnered 54.9% of his offense's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much smaller part of Green Bay's running game in this game at 34.1%.
A.J. Dillon's 3.1 adjusted yards per carry this season signifies a remarkable decline in his rushing talent over last season's 4.2 mark.

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