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A.J. Dillon

A.J. Dillon Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Las Vegas Raiders vs Green Bay Packers

A.J. Dillon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast A.J. Dillon to garner 13.4 rush attempts in this contest, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile among RBs.

After taking on 42.2% of his team's rush attempts last season, A.J. Dillon has been more involved in the rushing attack this season, currently accounting for 52.7%.

The Green Bay Packers O-line ranks as the 6th-best in football last year in run-blocking.

This year, the poor Las Vegas Raiders run defense has yielded a colossal 143.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 5th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to be the least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 36.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Packers to run the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.1 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Packers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.0 plays per game.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.

A.J. Dillon's 28.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year shows a a significant regression in his running proficiency over last year's 45.0 mark.

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