A.J. Dillon Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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A.J. Dillon

NFL · Player Props

A.J. Dillon

RB · Green Bay Packers

Rushing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 5:06 PM EST

Analysis

A.J. Dillon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 56.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects A.J. Dillon to garner 17.7 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among running backs.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in run blocking.
Opposing squads have run for the 10th-most yards in football (127 per game) against the New Orleans Saints defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense as the 5th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.54 seconds per play.
A.J. Dillon's running effectiveness has tailed off this year, accumulating a measly 2.57 yards-per-carry vs a 4.15 mark last year.
A.J. Dillon has been among the bottom running backs in the NFL at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging a mere 2.32 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 22nd percentile.
The New Orleans Saints linebackers profile as the best collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

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