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A.J. Dillon

A.J. Dillon Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
A.J. Dillon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects A.J. Dillon to total 14.1 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile among RBs.
  • THE BLITZ projects A.J. Dillon to be a more integral piece of his team's rushing attack this week (60.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (42.1% in games he has played).
  • The Green Bay Packers O-line grades out as the 6th-best in football since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
  • Opposing teams have rushed for the 8th-most yards in the league (135 per game) against the Atlanta Falcons defense since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 8th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 38.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the 3rd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Atlanta Falcons safeties profile as the 9th-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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