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A.J. Dillon

A.J. Dillon Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Carolina Panthers vs Green Bay Packers

A.J. Dillon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-104/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -131.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their usual game plan.

The Green Bay Packers offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in football last year at opening holes for rushers.

This year, the formidable Carolina Panthers run defense has conceded a mere 4.74 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing squads: the 27th-smallest rate in the NFL.

The Panthers linebackers profile as the 6th-worst LB corps in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Green Bay Packers are projected by the model to run just 63.1 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Green Bay Packers this year (just 56.1 per game on average).

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