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A.J. Dillon

A.J. Dillon Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Buffalo Bills vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
A.J. Dillon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-118).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A.J. Dillon has earned 47.1% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 79th percentile among RBs.
  • The Green Bay Packers O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year at blocking for rushers.
  • The Green Bay Packers have used some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their play-calls since the start of last season (6th-most in the league), which masks an offenses true intentions and may make them more effective.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a giant 10.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 32.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 9th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • A.J. Dillon's running effectiveness (3.75 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (19th percentile among running backs).

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