A.J. Dillon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-118).
Key Factors
Favors Over
A.J. Dillon has earned 47.1% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 79th percentile among RBs.
The Green Bay Packers O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year at blocking for rushers.
The Green Bay Packers have used some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their play-calls since the start of last season (6th-most in the league), which masks an offenses true intentions and may make them more effective.
Favors Under
The Packers are a giant 10.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 32.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 9th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
A.J. Dillon's running effectiveness (3.75 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (19th percentile among running backs).