A.J. Dillon Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

My Account Log Out

reorder

A.J. Dillon

NFL · Player Props

A.J. Dillon

RB · Green Bay Packers

Rushing Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 8:10 PM UTC

Analysis

A.J. Dillon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A.J. Dillon has earned 53.3% of his offense's carries this year, ranking in the 85th percentile among running backs.
The Green Bay Packers O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
A.J. Dillon has picked up 47.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in the NFL among RBs (77th percentile).
The Green Bay Packers have utilized some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their plays since the start of last season (6th-most in football), which usually keeps the defense guessing and improves offensive efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 5th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 37.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 119.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have run for the 2nd-least yards in the NFL (just 90 per game) vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties project as the 2nd-best safety corps in football since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.
The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

More A.J. Dillon Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow