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A.J. Dillon

A.J. Dillon Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
A.J. Dillon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A.J. Dillon has earned 53.3% of his offense's carries this year, ranking in the 85th percentile among running backs.
  • The Green Bay Packers O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
  • A.J. Dillon has picked up 47.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in the NFL among RBs (77th percentile).
  • The Green Bay Packers have utilized some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their plays since the start of last season (6th-most in football), which usually keeps the defense guessing and improves offensive efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 5th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 37.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 119.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 2nd-least yards in the NFL (just 90 per game) vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties project as the 2nd-best safety corps in football since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.
  • The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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