A.J. Dillon Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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A.J. Dillon

NFL · Player Props

A.J. Dillon

RB · Green Bay Packers

Rushing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 9, 2023 1:11 AM UTC

Analysis

A.J. Dillon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 43.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 42.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Packers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
A.J. Dillon has garnered 44.0% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 79th percentile among RBs.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in run blocking.
The Detroit Lions defense has had the 2nd-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, yielding 5.41 yards-per-carry.
The Detroit Lions safeties grade out as the 28th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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