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A.J. Dillon

A.J. Dillon Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Carolina Panthers vs Green Bay Packers

A.J. Dillon Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -185.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Green Bay Packers O-line ranks as the 10th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

When it comes to defensive tackles pass-rushing, Carolina's collection of DTs has been very bad this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their usual game plan.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Green Bay Packers are projected by the model to run just 63.1 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Green Bay Packers this year (just 56.1 per game on average).

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Panthers defense this year: fewest in the league.

The Carolina Panthers pass defense has given up the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (76.1%) versus RBs this year (76.1%).

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