My Account Log Out

reorder

A.J. Dillon

A.J. Dillon Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers

A.J. Dillon Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+114/-152).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -151 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -152.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Packers are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has surrendered the 9th-highest Completion% in the league (84.7%) to running backs this year (84.7%).

The Green Bay Packers have incorporated some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their play-calls since the start of last season (6th-most in the league), which usually makes an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 30.07 seconds per play.

The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

A.J. Dillon's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% falling off from 92.2% to 74.2%.

The Philadelphia Eagles linebackers rank as the 9th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

The Green Bay Packers O-line has given their QB a measly 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

More A.J. Dillon Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™