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A.J. Dillon

A.J. Dillon Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Green Bay Packers vs Tennessee Titans

A.J. Dillon Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-128).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing teams have averaged 43.8 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the NFL.

The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

The Tennessee Titans pass defense has given up the 7th-highest Completion% in the league (85.4%) to running backs this year (85.4%).

The Tennessee Titans pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season.

The Green Bay Packers have incorporated some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their play-calls since the start of last season (6th-most in the NFL), which can keep the defense guessing and improve offensive efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a 3-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

A.J. Dillon's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 92.2% to 73.2%.

The Tennessee Titans safeties rank as the 3rd-best unit in football this year in covering receivers.

The Green Bay Packers O-line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.

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