A.J. Dillon Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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A.J. Dillon

NFL · Player Props

A.J. Dillon

RB · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

A.J. Dillon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has yielded the 4th-highest Completion% in the NFL (84.8%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (84.8%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 58.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in the league.
A.J. Dillon has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league among running backs, hauling in just 71.3% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 13th percentile.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has been quite strong when opposing RBs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 5.43 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 3rd-least in the NFL.
The Chicago Bears linebackers rank as the 10th-best collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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