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A.J. Dillon

A.J. Dillon Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Washington Commanders vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
A.J. Dillon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 10th-most pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 63.3% pass rate.
  • The Green Bay Packers have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.5 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects A.J. Dillon to garner 2.9 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 75th percentile among running backs.
  • A.J. Dillon has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 9.0% this year, which ranks him in the 79th percentile among RBs.
  • The Washington Commanders pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency versus RBs this year, giving up 6.94 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 33.0 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
  • A.J. Dillon's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 92.2% to 73.0%.
  • A.J. Dillon's pass-catching efficiency has worsened this year, compiling a measly 4.59 yards-per-target compared to a 8.53 figure last year.

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