My Account Log Out

reorder

A.J. Dillon

A.J. Dillon Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Green Bay Packers vs New England Patriots

A.J. Dillon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A.J. Dillon has been among the top pass-game running backs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 18.0 yards per game while ranking in the 80th percentile.

The New England Patriots defense has conceded the 3rd-most receiving yards per game in football (48.0) vs. running backs since the start of last season.

The New England Patriots pass defense has yielded the 9th-highest Completion% in the league (83.6%) versus running backs since the start of last season (83.6%).

The New England Patriots pass defense has shown bad efficiency versus RBs since the start of last season, surrendering 7.23 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in the NFL.

The New England Patriots defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 8th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a massive 9.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 11th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Green Bay Packers have called the 10th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a measly 58.4 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the league.

A.J. Dillon has compiled a meager 0.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 21st percentile among running backs.

More A.J. Dillon Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™