My Account Log Out

reorder

A.J. Dillon

A.J. Dillon Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

A.J. Dillon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

A.J. Dillon has gone out for more passes this year (41.6% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (30.4%).

The Green Bay Packers O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

The Minnesota Vikings defense has given up the 8th-most receiving yards per game in football (43.0) vs. RBs this year.

The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has displayed weak efficiency against RBs this year, surrendering 6.25 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense as the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 30.43 seconds per play.

A.J. Dillon's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 92.2% to 77.3%.

A.J. Dillon's pass-catching efficiency has declined this year, averaging a mere 5.86 yards-per-target compared to a 8.51 figure last year.

A.J. Dillon's talent in picking up extra yardage have diminished this year, compiling a mere 7.57 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 8.68 figure last year.

More A.J. Dillon Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™