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A.J. Dillon

A.J. Dillon Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

A.J. Dillon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+102/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Green Bay Packers O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

The Chicago Bears pass defense has shown bad efficiency against RBs this year, surrendering 6.45 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-most in the league.

The Chicago Bears defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-most sluggish in football since the start of last season.

The Green Bay Packers have incorporated some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their plays since the start of last season (6th-most in the NFL), which can keep the defense guessing and improve offensive efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 59.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs have averaged 27.8 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.

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