My Account Log Out
 
 
A.J. Dillon

A.J. Dillon Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Green Bay Packers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
A.J. Dillon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing teams have averaged 43.8 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the NFL.
  • The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • The Tennessee Titans defense has allowed the 9th-most receiving yards per game in the league (41.0) vs. RBs this year.
  • The Tennessee Titans pass defense has given up the 7th-highest Completion% in the league (85.4%) to running backs this year (85.4%).
  • The Tennessee Titans pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a 3-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • A.J. Dillon has put up substantially fewer receiving yards per game (10.0) this year than he did last year (18.0).
  • A.J. Dillon's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 92.2% to 73.2%.
  • A.J. Dillon's pass-game efficiency has declined this year, notching a measly 4.58 yards-per-target vs a 8.53 mark last year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™