A.J. Dillon Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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A.J. Dillon

NFL · Player Props

A.J. Dillon

RB · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 18, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

A.J. Dillon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing teams have averaged 43.8 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the NFL.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Tennessee Titans defense has allowed the 9th-most receiving yards per game in the league (41.0) vs. RBs this year.
The Tennessee Titans pass defense has given up the 7th-highest Completion% in the league (85.4%) to running backs this year (85.4%).
The Tennessee Titans pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Packers are a 3-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
A.J. Dillon has put up substantially fewer receiving yards per game (10.0) this year than he did last year (18.0).
A.J. Dillon's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 92.2% to 73.2%.
A.J. Dillon's pass-game efficiency has declined this year, notching a measly 4.58 yards-per-target vs a 8.53 mark last year.

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