A.J. Dillon Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

My Account Log Out

reorder

A.J. Dillon

NFL · Player Props

A.J. Dillon

RB · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 9:11 PM EST

Analysis

A.J. Dillon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Packers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 8th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
A.J. Dillon has been used more as a potential target this season (41.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (30.8%).

Favors Under

A.J. Dillon has put up significantly fewer receiving yards per game (11.0) this year than he did last year (18.0).
A.J. Dillon's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 92.2% to 73.2%.
A.J. Dillon's receiving efficiency has diminished this season, averaging just 4.58 yards-per-target vs a 8.53 mark last season.
A.J. Dillon's talent in picking up extra yardage have declined this year, compiling just 6.38 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 8.68 rate last year.
The Dallas Cowboys defense has allowed the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 26.0) to running backs this year.

More A.J. Dillon Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow