My Account Log Out

reorder

A.J. Dillon

A.J. Dillon Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers

A.J. Dillon Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

As it relates to blocking for ball-carriers (and the influence it has on all run game metrics), the offensive line of the Packers profiles as the 6th-best in football last year.

As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Denver's unit has been terrible this year, grading out as the worst in the league. in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 10th-least run-oriented offense in football (37.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Packers.

The leading projections forecast the Packers to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Packers have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.2 plays per game.

Our trusted projections expect A.J. Dillon to be a much smaller part of his team's run game in this week's contest (39.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (59.6% in games he has played).

More A.J. Dillon Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™