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A.J. Dillon

A.J. Dillon Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers

A.J. Dillon Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-111/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects A.J. Dillon to total 14.1 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile among RBs.

THE BLITZ projects A.J. Dillon to be a more integral piece of his team's rushing attack this week (60.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (42.1% in games he has played).

The Green Bay Packers O-line grades out as the 6th-best in football since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 8th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 38.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the 3rd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Atlanta Falcons safeties profile as the 9th-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

More A.J. Dillon Player Props

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