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A.J. Dillon

A.J. Dillon Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

A.J. Dillon Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In regards to blocking for ball-carriers (and the importance it has on all run game stats), the offensive line of the Green Bay Packers profiles as the 6th-best in football last year.

The Vikings linebackers project as the 2nd-worst unit in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Packers to run on 37.3% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

At the moment, the 7th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Green Bay Packers.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

While A.J. Dillon has received 49.7% of his team's run game usage in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much less involved in Green Bay's run game in this week's game at 29.0%.

More A.J. Dillon Player Props

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