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A.J. Dillon
NFL · Player Props
A.J. Dillon
RB · Green Bay Packers
Carries
Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 11, 2023 Updated Nov 19, 2023 5:06 PM UTC
NFL Props A.J. Dillon Carries

A.J. Dillon Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -114.

Favors Over
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 131.1 total plays called: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Green Bay Packers offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL last year at blocking for the run game.
  • When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Los Angeles's collection of DEs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the league. in the league.
Favors Under
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Packers are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Green Bay Packers to run on 40.6% of their chances: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The Green Bay Packers have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 55.1 plays per game.
  • While A.J. Dillon has garnered 48.7% of his team's run game usage in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller piece of Green Bay's run game in this week's game at 36.0%.
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