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A.J. Dillon

A.J. Dillon Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Washington Commanders vs Green Bay Packers

A.J. Dillon Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Packers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.

The Green Bay Packers have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.5 plays per game.

A.J. Dillon has received 48.3% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking in the 80th percentile among RBs.

The Green Bay Packers O-line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year at blocking for the run game.

The Washington Commanders defensive tackles profile as the 7th-worst unit in the league this year in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 9th-least run-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 36.7% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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