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A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams

A.J. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this contest, A.J. Brown is predicted by our trusted projection set to place in the 85th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.2 targets.

A.J. Brown's 90.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 77.6.

The Los Angeles Rams linebackers grade out as the 6th-worst LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests a rushing game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 6.5 points.

The projections expect the Eagles to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 39.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Eagles offense to be the 7th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 28.25 seconds per play.

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.

A.J. Brown's receiving talent has worsened this year, compiling a mere 4.8 adjusted receptions compared to 6.2 last year.

More A.J. Brown Player Props

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