A.J. Brown Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

My Account Log Out

reorder

A.J. Brown

NFL · Player Props

A.J. Brown

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receptions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers · Week 1, 2024

Updated Sep 6, 2024 11:31 PM EST

Analysis

A.J. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-113).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Eagles offense to be the fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.48 seconds per snap.
The predictive model expects A.J. Brown to accumulate 9.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among WRs.
A.J. Brown has been an integral part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 31.4% last year, which puts him in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs.
The Eagles O-line profiles as the best in the league last year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
With a terrific 6.2 adjusted catches per game (95th percentile) last year, A.J. Brown places among the leading wide receivers in the NFL in the NFL.

Favors Under

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Packers, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.8 per game) last year.
When it comes to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Green Bay's unit has been phenomenal last year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

More A.J. Brown Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow