A.J. Brown Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

My Account Log Out

reorder

A.J. Brown

NFL · Player Props

A.J. Brown

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receptions

Seattle Seahawks vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

A.J. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (37.5 per game) this year.
In this game, A.J. Brown is forecasted by the predictive model to finish in the 95th percentile among wideouts with 9.3 targets.
A.J. Brown's 79.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 70.9.
The Philadelphia O-line grades out as the best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
A.J. Brown's 7.0 adjusted catches per game this year signifies a noteworthy improvement in his receiving skills over last year's 5.2 rate.

Favors Under

A passing game script is indicated by the Eagles being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
The predictive model expects the Eagles to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 50.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Eagles offense to be the most sluggish paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 28.45 seconds per play.

More A.J. Brown Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow