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A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 86.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 75.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 86.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 7th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Eagles this year (a staggering 59.0 per game on average).

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league.

In this game, A.J. Brown is anticipated by the projections to secure a spot in the 96th percentile among wide receivers with 9.4 targets.

With a remarkable 32.0% Target Rate (100th percentile) since the start of last season, A.J. Brown ranks as one of the WRs with the highest volume in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a heavy favorite this week, indicating much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.

Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 50.9% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

A.J. Brown has notched far fewer air yards this year (106.0 per game) than he did last year (116.0 per game).

More A.J. Brown Player Props

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