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A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 88.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 85.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 88.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Eagles are forecasted by the predictive model to run 67.3 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-most among all teams this week.

The 7th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may decline.

This week, A.J. Brown is anticipated by the predictive model to slot into the 100th percentile among WRs with 10.6 targets.

A.J. Brown's 90.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 77.6.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Eagles being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.

The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Los Angeles Rams, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 31.8 per game) this year.

A.J. Brown has posted significantly fewer air yards this year (106.0 per game) than he did last year (116.0 per game).

The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (60.2%) vs. WRs this year (60.2%).

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