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A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 90.5 (-155/+125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects A.J. Brown to notch 9.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile among wideouts.

After accumulating 104.0 air yards per game last season, A.J. Brown has been rising this season, currently sitting at 140.0 per game.

A.J. Brown's 82.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 70.9.

The Philadelphia O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

A.J. Brown has notched many more adjusted receiving yards per game (109.0) this year than he did last year (80.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests a rushing game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 6.5 points.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 53.8% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The projections expect the Eagles offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 28.64 seconds per play.

More A.J. Brown Player Props

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