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A.J. Brown
NFL · Player Props
A.J. Brown
WR · Philadelphia Eagles
Receiving Yards
Philadelphia Eagles vs Miami Dolphins · Week 7, 2023 Updated Oct 23, 2023 12:01 AM UTC
NFL Props A.J. Brown Receiving Yards

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 81.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 79.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 81.5 @ -145.

Favors Over
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Eagles are expected by our trusted projection set to run 66.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 67.2 plays per game.
  • Our trusted projections expect A.J. Brown to earn 9.8 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • A.J. Brown has totaled quite a few more air yards this season (137.0 per game) than he did last season (104.0 per game).
  • A.J. Brown's 77.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the league leaders: 96th percentile for WRs.
Favors Under
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Eagles are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the Eagles to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being projected in this game) typically correlate with decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.
  • This year, the formidable Dolphins pass defense has conceded the 9th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing WRs: a meager 4.0 YAC.
  • When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Miami's group of safeties has been fantastic this year, ranking as the best in football.
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