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A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Philadelphia Eagles vs Arizona Cardinals

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 85.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 82.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 85.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to call the 10th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 61.2 plays per game.

The predictive model expects A.J. Brown to garner 8.6 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 91st percentile among wide receivers.

After totaling 104.0 air yards per game last season, A.J. Brown has shown good development this season, currently pacing 120.0 per game.

A.J. Brown's 79.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 70.9.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 12.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a heavy favorite this week, indicating much more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach.

Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 46.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.

The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has performed very well when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.43 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-fewest in the league.

More A.J. Brown Player Props

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