My Account Log Out

reorder

A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 78.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 74.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 78.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

To the extent of a defense's impact on pace, at 27.47 seconds per play, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 5th-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.

In this contest, A.J. Brown is forecasted by our trusted projection set to land in the 94th percentile among wide receivers with 9.0 targets.

A.J. Brown has put up many more air yards this season (121.0 per game) than he did last season (104.0 per game).

A.J. Brown's 79.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 70.9.

When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Eagles ranks as the best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 14-point advantage, the Eagles are overwhelmingly favored this week, suggesting much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 48.1% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

More A.J. Brown Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™