My Account Log Out

reorder

A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

New England Patriots vs Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-135/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 59.6 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the league.

THE BLITZ projects A.J. Brown to accumulate 8.3 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among WRs.

A.J. Brown has posted a monstrous 104.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 97th percentile among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles have played in the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to mean reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

The New England Patriots pass defense has surrendered the 4th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63.1%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (63.1%).

The New England Patriots pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.46 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-least in the league.

More A.J. Brown Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™