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A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-115/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 70.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 68.5 @ -119.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects A.J. Brown to accrue 8.5 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 89th percentile among wideouts.
  • A.J. Brown has notched a colossal 100.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a huge 13.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 48.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
  • The Houston Texans cornerbacks profile as the 5th-best unit in football this year in pass coverage.

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