A.J. Brown Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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A.J. Brown

NFL · Player Props

A.J. Brown

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 72.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 65.5 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects A.J. Brown to total 8.9 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 90th percentile among WRs.
A.J. Brown has posted quite a few more air yards this season (106.0 per game) than he did last season (97.0 per game).

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 8th-least in the NFL.
The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has displayed good efficiency against wide receivers this year, allowing 7.56 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-least in football.
The Arizona Cardinals defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-fastest in football since the start of last season.

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