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A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 74.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 71.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 74.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 138.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects A.J. Brown to accrue 8.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among WRs.

The New York Giants linebackers rank as the worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

The New York Giants defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.61 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the slowest in the league since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a heavy 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 53.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The New York Giants pass defense has conceded the 10th-lowest Completion% in football (64.2%) vs. wideouts this year (64.2%).

The New York Giants pass defense has displayed strong efficiency versus WRs this year, yielding 7.84 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-least in the NFL.

The New York Giants have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.4% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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