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A.J. Brown
NFL · Player Props
A.J. Brown
WR · Philadelphia Eagles
Receiving Yards
Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 15, 2022 Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM EST
NFL Props A.J. Brown Receiving Yards

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 65.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 64.5 @ -110.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.58 seconds per play.
  • A.J. Brown has been less involved as a potential target this season (91.4% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (78.7%).
  • THE BLITZ projects A.J. Brown to garner 7.1 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 80th percentile among wideouts.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game stats across the board.
  • A.J. Brown has been among the top pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging an impressive 77.0 yards per game while ranking in the 95th percentile.
Favors Under
  • The Eagles are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 48.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in football.
  • A.J. Brown has put up quite a few less air yards this year (88.0 per game) than he did last year (103.0 per game).
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