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A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 72.5 (-102/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 68.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 72.5 @ -102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • A.J. Brown has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (90.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (78.7%).
  • THE BLITZ projects A.J. Brown to accumulate 8.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 88th percentile among wideouts.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • A.J. Brown has been among the leading WRs in the league this year, averaging a terrific 77.0 yards per game while checking in at the 93rd percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 49.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 5th-least in football.
  • A.J. Brown has totaled quite a few less air yards this year (89.0 per game) than he did last year (103.0 per game).
  • The New York Giants pass defense has surrendered the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.1%) versus wideouts this year (63.1%).

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