My Account Log Out
 
 
A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (+107/-141).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 72.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 70.5 @ -141.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • A.J. Brown has gone out for fewer passes this year (89.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (77.9%).
  • THE BLITZ projects A.J. Brown to accumulate 9.3 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile among wideouts.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.
  • A.J. Brown has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (91.0 per game) than he did last season (97.0 per game).
  • The Indianapolis Colts defense has conceded the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 120.0) vs. wideouts this year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™