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A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 3

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. Brown Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+145/-175).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects A.J. Brown to be much more involved in his team's pass attack near the end zone this week (27.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (20.0% in games he has played).

A.J. Brown has compiled a monstrous 97.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 94th percentile among wideouts.

A.J. Brown's 72.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 98th percentile for wideouts.

The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.

The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

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