Aidan O'Connell Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Aidan O'Connell

NFL · Player Props

Aidan O'Connell

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Rushing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 3:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Aidan O'Connell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Right now, the 6th-most run-centric team in football (41.8% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Las Vegas Raiders.
As it relates to blocking for ball-carriers (and the impact it has on all ground game statistics), the O-line of the Raiders ranks as the 3rd-best in the league last year.
The New York Giants defense has produced the 6th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, surrendering 4.88 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Raiders are projected by the projections to run only 60.4 total plays in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.
The fewest plays in football have been run by the Las Vegas Raiders this year (only 52.9 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The New York defensive tackles project as the 3rd-best collection of DTs in the league this year with their run defense.

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