Aidan O'Connell Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Aidan O'Connell

NFL · Player Props

Aidan O'Connell

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Rushing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 3:36 AM EST

Analysis

Aidan O'Connell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 8th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 44.0% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
When talking about run support (and the influence it has on all ground game metrics), the O-line of the Raiders grades out as the 3rd-best in the league last year.
This year, the weak Jets run defense has yielded a staggering 135.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 4th-worst in football.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are anticipated by the projection model to call just 62.0 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.
The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 53.2 plays per game.
The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, New York's collection of LBs has been very good this year, grading out as the 5th-best in football.

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