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Aidan O'Connell

Aidan O'Connell Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants

Aidan O'Connell Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 209.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Raiders offensive line grades out as the best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

This year, the deficient New York Giants defense has yielded the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing teams: a colossal 6.16 YAC.

The New York Giants cornerbacks project as the 2nd-worst unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 6th-least pass-heavy team in football (58.2% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Raiders are projected by the projections to run only 60.4 total plays in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.

The fewest plays in football have been run by the Las Vegas Raiders this year (only 52.9 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.2 pass attempts per game against the Giants defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.

This year, the daunting Giants defense has given up a paltry 67.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 8th-smallest rate in the NFL.

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