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Aidan O'Connell
NFL · Player Props
Aidan O'Connell
QB · Las Vegas Raiders
Completions
Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 11, 2023 Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM UTC
NFL Props Aidan O'Connell Completions

Aidan O'Connell Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -125.

Favors Over
  • An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Raiders being an enormous -14-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The Raiders O-line ranks as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 3rd-highest level in the NFL versus the Dolphins defense this year (75.0% Adjusted Completion%).
Favors Under
  • At the moment, the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (55.1% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 62.8 total plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Raiders have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 53.6 plays per game.
  • As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Miami's unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.
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