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Adam Trautman

Adam Trautman Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

Adam Trautman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+163/-220).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -220.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Broncos will be forced to use backup QB Jarrett Stidham in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (37.7 per game) this year.

Adam Trautman's 61.4% Route Participation Rate this season reflects a noteworthy improvement in his pass attack workload over last season's 28.5% mark.

The Denver offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has surrendered the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.6%) versus TEs this year (78.6%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Broncos, who are favored by 3.5 points.

The leading projections forecast the Broncos as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see just 127.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.

The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Denver Broncos this year (only 54.2 per game on average).

Adam Trautman's 65.3% Adjusted Catch% this season shows a noteworthy decrease in his receiving prowess over last season's 80.6% figure.

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