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Adam Trautman

Adam Trautman Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots

Adam Trautman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+155/-185).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

Adam Trautman has been less involved as a potential target this year (63.9% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (28.5%).

When talking about pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Broncos ranks as the 4th-best in football this year.

The New England Patriots safeties profile as the 9th-worst group of safeties in football this year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Broncos are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

The predictive model expects the Denver Broncos to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 50.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see just 124.4 total plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.

The 3rd-fewest plays in football have been run by the Broncos this year (a lowly 53.9 per game on average).

Adam Trautman's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 80.6% to 69.4%.

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